Showing Tag: "greens" (Show all posts)

A fight for sixth place in the WA senate re-run

Posted by Vote Climate on Tuesday, April 1, 2014, In : WA Senate 


Election pundit, Anthony Green is tipping a fight for sixth place in WA senate election between the Greens' Scott Ludlam, the Palmer United Party, and the microparties (particularly HEMP and Sustainable Population).


Quote: "ABC election analyst Antony Green told The West Australian newspaper that the preference flows indicate that the 3 Liberal, 2 Labor, Green or PUP is the likely result of the WA Senate rerun.

“The last spot will come down to Ludlam, Palmer United or one of the micro-parties...

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Libs preference decision may not hurt Greens as much as you might think

Posted by Vote Climate on Thursday, August 15, 2013, In : Preferencing 

Will the Liberals' decision to give preferences to Labor put an end to the Greens' chances of winning seats at this election? Tim Colebatch in the Age (15/8) argues that Adam Bandt still has a reasonable chance of retaining his seat of Melbourne and that the Greens could hold their own, or even improve their position in the Senate. 


He explains this as follows:

... if Liberal voters direct preferences as they did in the 2010 state election – the last time the Liberals told their supporters t...


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What would a quick transition to ETS really mean?

Posted by Vote Climate on Tuesday, July 23, 2013, In : Carbon price 
Matthew Wright and Trevor Jack argue that  'a lower carbon price may bring short-term political gain, but credibility on global warming would go up in smoke'.   

Some quotes: An argument for transitioning to the ETS earlier than currently legislated is that it would be cheaper. True, in the short term, given that the carbon tax would be around $25 and the ETS cost would be about quarter of this. But this is cheaper in the same sense that buying a five-litre can of fuel is cheaper than buying a...

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Tri-partisan support for CSG 'water trigger'

Posted by Vote Climate on Tuesday, July 23, 2013, In : Coal and gas 
The Senate has agreed to give the Commonwealth Environment Minister broader approval powers over coal seam gas projects and large coal mines.

The 'Water Trigger' amendment to the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act allows the Federal Environment Minister to consider the impact of CSG projects and large coal mines on water resources, in deciding whether or not to they should be approved.

It passed the Senate with the support of all parties, despite unsuccessful Opposition an...

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Kevin Rudd reframes climate as a hip pocket nerve issue

Posted by Vote Climate on Thursday, July 18, 2013, In : Carbon price 
Imagine how much better this interview might have gone if Mark Butler and Kevin Rudd were talking about more ambitious emissions reductions and the need for action on the greatest moral issue of our time?
Caving in to Abbott and the business lobby and talking about the need to change policy to relieve cost of living pressures has done the ALP no good at all.
Will be interesting to see how efforts at 'product differentiation' from the Greens pan out. But probably not really a good idea either ...
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Combet says carbon price is here to stay

Posted by Vote Climate on Wednesday, June 5, 2013, In : Carbon price 

Greg Combet at Press Council lunch:

"Carbon pricing is here to stay,'' said Minister for Climate Change Greg Combet today in defiance of Coalition claims Labor should bow to an election mandate. Mr Combet said if Tony Abbott were elected Prime Minister "he cannot and will not repeal the carbon price''. "Labor will remain committed to it,'' he told the National Press Club in Canberra. "Tackling climate change has been in our platform for over two decades, and we will fight for what we believe i...


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Is Batman a safe Labor seat or a Labor/Greens marginal?

Posted by Vote Climate on Sunday, June 2, 2013, In : Political analysis 

Anthony Green, well-known election analyst, lists Batman as Labor's safest seat with a margin of 24.8%. However, he notes that "the margins for Batman and Grayndler are shown with a two-party preferred [Labor/Liberal] margin despite the Greens finishing second at the 2010 election."  When you look at the seat as  Labor/Greens marginal a different picture emerges. 

From Leone Taylor, 'The Guardian':

Batman is officially Labor’s safest seat, held by a margin of 24.8%.

But an aggregation of the l...


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Preselection battle in Batman as Martin Ferguson resigns

Posted by Vote Climate on Sunday, June 2, 2013, In : Politics 



After Tony Abbott's tearful farewell to Martin Ferguson, the battle for preselection in what has been regarded as one of the ALP's safest seats is hotting up. But how safe is it really? (See post above.) David Feeney is standing for preselection, but Ged Kearney has pulled out. Now there are two new local female candidates standing.
 



From 'The Australian' today:
LABOR'S preselection battle for Martin Ferguson's Melbourne seat of Batman has widened, with two female candidates emerging from the ...


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Combet speaks up on carbon price

Posted by Vote Climate on Monday, May 20, 2013, In : Carbon price 


More from Business Spectator on the rumoured behind the scenes ALP struggle over the carbon price: 
It may prove mere coincidence that the day Business Spectator breaks news of Shorten possibly maneuvering on carbon pricing, Combet declares removing it would be “immoral”, arguably his strongest line since the policy was enacted.Regardless, his doorstop interview makes for intriguing reading in light of the Shorten speculation.
Journalist: Is Labor still committed if you find yourself in Opp...


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Liberals may win control of Senate

Posted by Vote Climate on Saturday, May 4, 2013, In : Political analysis 
Latest analysis by expert pollster Anthony Green suggests that the Liberals could win control of the Senate and thus be able to repeal the carbon price.

As reported in The Age:

If current polling continues, and Mr Abbott wins a majority in the House of Representatives, then to repeal the carbon tax he would need 39 votes in the Senate. Currently the Coalition controls 34 out of the 76 seats. 
The Coalition will win another seat in Tasmania and is likely to claim Greens' Senator Sarah Hanson-Youn...

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Analysis by David Spratt

Posted by Vote Climate on Saturday, May 4, 2013, In : Political analysis 
Read part 1 here.
Read part 2 here.
Read part 3 here.
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